The economy is still expanding
Still growing, with a higher growth rate than in 2024
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Still growing, with a higher growth rate than in 2024
Available data cannot yet support a summary of price pressure.
Explore external balances and reserves to understand selected pressures on external stability.
The highest pressure score is not the most likely event · Indicator years may differ, and some figures may be estimates
Price data is insufficient to connect these results to your cost of living.
Year 2025 unemployment was 34.2% of the labor force. This does not tell us how your own job or income will change.
The simulator below covers government debt, not your mortgage or car payment. Its interest rate is an assumption, not an actual rate.
Based on annual data, not live data. These results cannot confirm a crisis year or probability.
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Year 2025 growth was 4.2% compared with 3.0% in 2024 · Still growing, with a higher growth rate than in 2024
The line shows the growth rate, not the size of the economy · Above 0 means expansion; below 0 means contraction · Some years may be revised
Change a condition and explore the result
Choose a scenario, or open “Set your own values”. These are simulations, not predictions of a crisis year.
Usable government debt, growth, and inflation data are required.
Track economic growth and the labor market to explore pressure on income and economic activity.
Screening score, not event probabilityExplore changes in goods and services prices that may affect living costs and purchasing power.
Insufficient data to score this areaExplore external balances and reserves to understand selected pressures on external stability.
Screening score, not event probabilityRead government debt alongside growth. High debt alone does not imply default.
Screening score, not event probabilityTrack credit levels and economic conditions to explore selected financial-system pressures.
Screening score, not event probability| Indicator ? | Value | Observation year ? | Status ? |
|---|---|---|---|
| Real GDP growth ? | 4.19% per year | 2025 | Used in assessment |
| CPI inflation ? | 2.60% per year | 2019 | Old · excluded from score |
| Current account balance ? | 2.38% GDP | 2025 | Used in assessment |
| Reserves in months of imports ? | 1.91months | 2024 | Used in assessment |
| Private sector credit ? | 23.08% GDP | 2025 | Used in assessment |
| Unemployment ? | 34.20% of labor force | 2025 | Used in assessment |
| General government debt ? | 44.80% GDP | 2025 | Used in assessmentMay be an estimate |