The economy is still expanding
Still growing, but more slowly than in 2024 — this is not economic contraction
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Still growing, but more slowly than in 2024 — this is not economic contraction
Available data cannot yet support a summary of price pressure.
Track economic growth and the labor market to explore pressure on income and economic activity.
The highest pressure score is not the most likely event · Indicator years may differ, and some figures may be estimates
Price data is insufficient to connect these results to your cost of living.
Year 2025 unemployment was 18.9% of the labor force. This does not tell us how your own job or income will change.
The simulator below covers government debt, not your mortgage or car payment. Its interest rate is an assumption, not an actual rate.
Based on annual data, not live data. These results cannot confirm a crisis year or probability.
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Year 2025 growth was 3.0% compared with 4.1% in 2024 · Still growing, but more slowly than in 2024 — this is not economic contraction
The line shows the growth rate, not the size of the economy · Above 0 means expansion; below 0 means contraction · Some years may be revised
Change a condition and explore the result
Choose a scenario, or open “Set your own values”. These are simulations, not predictions of a crisis year.
Usable government debt, growth, and inflation data are required.
Not a measure of accuracy · base year 2025
Track economic growth and the labor market to explore pressure on income and economic activity.
Screening score, not event probabilityExplore changes in goods and services prices that may affect living costs and purchasing power.
Insufficient data to score this areaExplore external balances and reserves to understand selected pressures on external stability.
Insufficient data to score this areaRead government debt alongside growth. High debt alone does not imply default.
Insufficient data to score this areaTrack credit levels and economic conditions to explore selected financial-system pressures.
Screening score, not event probability| Indicator ? | Value | Observation year ? | Status ? |
|---|---|---|---|
| Real GDP growth ? | 2.99% per year | 2025 | Used in assessment |
| CPI inflation ? | —% per year | — | No data |
| Current account balance ? | —% GDP | — | No data |
| Reserves in months of imports ? | —months | — | No data |
| Private sector credit ? | 5.43% GDP | 2024 | Used in assessment |
| Unemployment ? | 18.95% of labor force | 2025 | Used in assessment |
| General government debt ? | —% GDP | — | No data |